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Wind AlliesTier 2
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 15 | 5-10-0 | 33.3% | 36.8% | 38.3% | -4.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 18 | 5-12-1 | 30.6% | 34.1% | 35.7% | -5.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 14 | 10-3-1 | 75.0% | 69.4% | 67.4% | +7.2 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 16 | 6-7-3 | 46.9% | 47.5% | 48.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 12 | 4-7-1 | 37.5% | 40.6% | 44.1% | -2.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 13 | 4-8-1 | 34.6% | 38.2% | 37.3% | -5.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 11 | 6-2-3 | 68.2% | 63.3% | 60.8% | +4.7 |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 9 | 5-3-1 | 61.1% | 57.7% | 58.8% | +4.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -8.5 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.1% | -15.3 |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.6% | -13.8 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.8% | +5.5 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.2% | +11.7 |
Decklists · 27 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 15 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Quicksilver Grail, Inspiring Call, Winbless Gatekeeper. Losers more often ran: Trained Hawk, Smoke Bombs, Seeking Shot.
Show all 121 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 101 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trained Hawk | -0.53 | 3 | 11 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.47 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.40 | 9 | 3 | 3 | |
| Winbless Gatekeeper | +0.33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.27 | 2 | 6 | 2 | |
| Seeking Shot | -0.27 | 2 | 6 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.27 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| Mark of Fervor | -0.27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.20 | 5 | 2 | 6 | |
| Trained Sharpshooter | -0.20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.20 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -0.20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Recruitment Officer | -0.20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.20 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Weaponsmith | +0.20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.20 | 7 | 4 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +0.20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.13 | 8 | 6 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +0.13 | 8 | 6 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.13 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.13 | 8 | 6 | 0 | |
| Plated Bullet | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Lone Gunslinger | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | |
| Prototype Pistol | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Displace | +0.13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Genesis Aegis | +0.13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Archon Broadsword | +0.13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.07 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 14 | |
| Quickdraw Piercer | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.07 | 5 | 6 | 2 | |
| Charged Manaplate | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -0.07 | 4 | 5 | 4 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -0.07 | 3 | 4 | 6 | |
| Tasershot | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.07 | 6 | 5 | 4 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.07 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.07 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Reposition | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| Bauble of Abundance | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 6 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 4 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Conceal | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.07 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.07 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| Veteran Soldier | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crusader of Aesa | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Warrior's Longsword | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Imperial Rifleman | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enchaining Gale | -0.07 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Turbulent Bullet | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow's Twin | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Duskstalker | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poised Strike | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Channeling Stone | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Temporal Spectrometer | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Idle Thoughts | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sentinel Fabricator | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deployment Beacon | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smash with Obelisk | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fortified Mana Shield | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Novice Mechanist | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Take Point | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Into the Fray | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Adversity | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 2 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| Young Peacekeeper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 1 | |
| Intrepid Spearman | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpening Stone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperious Highlander | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Worn Gearblade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |