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Wind AlliesTier 2

at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak

decks
27 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
132 54-64-14
overall winrate
46.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6% avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
47.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1245 · median 1185 · range 1054–1624 (27 pilots with an ELO rating)
1054 Q1 1169 Q3 1355 1685
22% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 37% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 10.2% 15 5-10-0 33.3% 36.8% 38.3% -4.7
Fire Erupting 9.3% 18 5-12-1 30.6% 34.1% 35.7% -5.6
Fire Umbra Ranger 9.3% 14 10-3-1 75.0% 69.4% 67.4% +7.2
Water Allies 7.4% 16 6-7-3 46.9% 47.5% 48.4% -0.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.5% 12 4-7-1 37.5% 40.6% 44.1% -2.5
Fire Aggro 5.6% 13 4-8-1 34.6% 38.2% 37.3% -5.3
Water Astra Cleric 5.6% 11 6-2-3 68.2% 63.3% 60.8% +4.7
Wind Neos 4.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.0
Fire Arcane 2.8% 9 5-3-1 61.1% 57.7% 58.8% +4.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.8% 5 0-3-2 20.0% 33.3% 35.3% -8.5
Fire Neos 1.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.1% +14.6
Water Crux Mage 1.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.1% +13.5
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.2% -15.6
Fire Neos Tonoris 0.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.2
Fire Umbra Diana 0.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 34.1% -15.3
Fire Zander 0.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.0% +14.4
Water Crux Lorraine 0.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.6% -13.8
Water Luxem Assassin 0.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.1% -15.8
Wind Silvie 0.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 55.8% +5.5
Wind Tera Silvie 0.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.9% -14.6
Wind Umbra Ranger 0.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.2% +11.7
Decklists · 27 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 15 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Quicksilver Grail, Inspiring Call, Winbless Gatekeeper. Losers more often ran: Trained Hawk, Smoke Bombs, Seeking Shot.

Played more by winners
Quicksilver Grail
Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.
Of 15 mirrors: the winner ran more in 7, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 8.
Inspiring Call
Winning decks ran 2.9 copies on average, losing decks 2.1.
Of 15 mirrors: the winner ran more in 9, the loser ran more in 3, both ran the same in 3.
Winbless Gatekeeper
Winning decks ran 1.1 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.
Of 15 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 10.
Safeguard Amulet
Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 15 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 11.
Aesan Protector
Winning decks ran 2.7 copies on average, losing decks 2.4.
Of 15 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 8.
Rallied Advance
Winning decks ran 0.9 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 15 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 10.
Played more by losers
Trained Hawk
Losing decks ran 2.6 copies on average, winning decks 1.9.
Of 15 mirrors: the loser ran more in 11, the winner ran more in 3, both ran the same in 1.
Smoke Bombs
Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 15 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 7.
Seeking Shot
Losing decks ran 1.1 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 15 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 7.
Mark of Fervor
Losing decks ran 1.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 15 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 7.
Trained Sharpshooter
Losing decks ran 1.5 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.
Of 15 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 3, both ran the same in 6.
Song of Nurturing
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 15 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 10.
Show all 121 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 101 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Trained Hawk -0.53 3 11 1
Quicksilver Grail +0.47 7 0 0
Inspiring Call +0.40 9 3 3
Winbless Gatekeeper +0.33 5 0 0
Smoke Bombs -0.27 2 6 2
Seeking Shot -0.27 2 6 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.27 4 0 6
Mark of Fervor -0.27 2 6 1
Aesan Protector +0.20 5 2 6
Trained Sharpshooter -0.20 3 6 0
Rallied Advance +0.20 4 1 2
Deflecting Edge +0.20 5 2 8
Song of Nurturing -0.20 1 4 0
Recruitment Officer -0.20 1 4 0
Ornamental Greatsword +0.20 4 1 10
Weaponsmith +0.20 5 2 0
Bulwark Sword +0.20 7 4 0
Phalanx Captain +0.20 5 2 0
Evasive Maneuvers -0.13 1 3 0
Heavy Swing +0.13 8 6 0
Tonoris, Might of Humanity +0.13 8 6 0
Blastshot Pump -0.13 1 3 0
Diana, Keen Huntress -0.13 1 3 0
Windrider Vanguard +0.13 3 1 10
Tonoris, Lone Mercenary +0.13 8 6 0
Plated Bullet -0.13 1 3 0
Diana, Deadly Duelist -0.13 1 3 0
Backstep -0.13 1 3 0
Lone Gunslinger -0.13 1 3 0
Zephyr +0.13 5 3 5
Prototype Pistol -0.13 1 3 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +0.13 3 1 1
Displace +0.13 4 2 1
Sword of Seeking +0.13 6 4 2
Azure Protective Trinket -0.13 1 3 1
Veiling Breeze +0.13 4 2 1
Reclaim -0.13 0 2 0
Fairy Whispers -0.13 0 2 0
Tonoris, Genesis Aegis +0.13 2 0 0
Archon Broadsword +0.13 2 0 0
Tithe Proclamation -0.07 3 4 5
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.07 0 1 14
Quickdraw Piercer -0.07 1 2 0
Attune with the Winds -0.07 5 6 2
Charged Manaplate -0.07 0 1 0
Woodland Squirrels -0.07 4 5 4
Life Essence Amulet +0.07 2 1 12
Imperial Recruit -0.07 3 4 6
Tasershot -0.07 1 2 0
Favorable Winds +0.07 6 5 4
Poisoned Coating Oil +0.07 3 2 7
Swift Recruit -0.07 5 6 4
Reposition -0.07 1 2 0
Tariff Ring +0.07 2 1 11
Bauble of Abundance -0.07 1 2 0
Dream Fairy +0.07 4 3 6
Grand Crusader's Ring +0.07 4 3 4
Stalwart Shieldmate +0.07 4 3 0
Conceal -0.07 1 2 0
Lorraine, Blademaster +0.07 5 4 1
Drawn Blade +0.07 4 3 1
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior +0.07 5 4 1
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +0.07 4 3 1
Veteran Soldier -0.07 1 2 0
Crusader of Aesa +0.07 2 1 0
Warrior's Longsword +0.07 2 1 0
Second Wind +0.07 2 1 1
Imperial Rifleman -0.07 0 1 0
Enchaining Gale -0.07 2 3 0
Turbulent Bullet -0.07 0 1 0
Shadow's Twin -0.07 0 1 0
Diana, Duskstalker -0.07 0 1 0
Zander, Deft Executor -0.07 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes -0.07 0 1 0
Gawain, Chivalrous Thief -0.07 0 1 0
Poisoned Dagger -0.07 0 1 0
Zander, Prepared Scout -0.07 0 1 0
Blackmarket Broker -0.07 0 1 0
Windwalker Boots -0.07 0 1 0
Assassin's Ripper -0.07 0 1 0
Poised Strike -0.07 0 1 0
Blinding Orb -0.07 0 1 0
Thieving Cut -0.07 0 1 0
Corhazi Outlook -0.07 0 1 0
Exorcise Curses -0.07 0 1 0
Channeling Stone -0.07 0 1 0
Chalice of Blood -0.07 0 1 0
Spirit of Serene Wind -0.07 0 1 0
Temporal Spectrometer +0.07 1 0 0
Idle Thoughts +0.07 1 0 0
Sentinel Fabricator +0.07 1 0 0
Deployment Beacon +0.07 1 0 0
Smash with Obelisk +0.07 1 0 0
Fortified Mana Shield +0.07 1 0 0
Fast Cure +0.07 1 0 0
Novice Mechanist +0.07 1 0 0
Take Point +0.07 1 0 0
Into the Fray +0.07 1 0 0
Beastbond Boots -0.07 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +0.07 1 0 0
Sword of Adversity +0.07 1 0 0
Esteemed Knight +0.00 6 6 2
Armored Valkyrie +0.00 2 2 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +0.00 4 4 6
Water Resonance Bauble +0.00 1 1 13
Lurking Assailant +0.00 3 3 9
Eye of Argus +0.00 5 5 1
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 4 4 6
Wind Resonance Bauble +0.00 1 1 13
Young Peacekeeper +0.00 1 1 0
Banner Knight +0.00 4 4 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.00 4 4 5
Hurricane Sweep +0.00 4 4 0
Scavenging Raccoon +0.00 6 6 1
Intrepid Spearman +0.00 1 1 0
Sharpening Stone +0.00 1 1 0
Honorable Vanguard +0.00 1 1 0
Savage Slash +0.00 1 1 0
Imperious Highlander +0.00 1 1 0
Sudden Steel +0.00 1 1 0
Worn Gearblade +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/2044/archetypes/Wind Allies